PANR vs 88e23 Feb 2024 09:02
See below my commentary on the events over at our exciting southern neighbour, 88E.
"Casino punters and those playing a game of financial pass the parcel - no need to read further, except to remember the adage: "Enjoy the party but dance close to the exit." This for for those traders or those who got caught in the famous Scot 130p to 10p trap.
For anyone with the slightest interest in the fundamentals, read on because it's fascinating and frightening in equal measure!
88E valuation.
1) Mkt cap at close today is £80.3m
2) Deduct value of Longhorn and Namibia (£8.7m) gives us £71.6m
3) Divide by Project Phoenix Best Estimate (P50) recoverable resources ***assuming complete success of both flow tests at Hickory-1 in the next few weeks*** which is 371.3mmbo => the current price of each barrel in the ground is 19.3p.
Pantheon Resources Valuation
1) Mkt cap at close today is £242.8m
2) Less about $17m of debt. £227.8m.
3) Divide by Best Estimate (P50) recoverable resources which is 2.415bbo => 9.4p per barrel in the ground.
I emphasise this, the market never lies, PANR is values lower based on the above because it is going to have to dilute so many shares to fund it's debt requirement, and people don't like it.
88e however, are investing in assets on the side that should be producing for years to come. PANR isn't adapting, it's getting stuck in the snow if you will.
The market doesn't stay wrong for long, and you can clearly see 88e is the more valuable choice based on the above.