Member Info for Sergio20

ShamI89

When a maniac attacks you or your loved ones, please do not forget to say that you yourself provoked him

Part of today's article in Bloomberg. 100% so everything is true. Residents of the country who are exposed to danger every day and lose their loved ones every day, after three years are not ready for a shameful peace. It is difficult for a modern resident of Europe and the USA to understand. The new US administration has created a soap bubble for itself. They are not able to stop Putin, how are they going to stand up to China?

The US administration of President Donald Trump has made it clear that it sees Volodymyr Zelenskiy as an obstacle to aiding Ukraine.The US political assaults on Zelenskiy have escalated since Friday’s White House bust up, when Trump and Vice President JD Vance branded Zelenskiy disrespectful and suggested that his intransigence, rather than Moscow’s aggression, was the impediment to a US-brokered cease-fire with Russia. The paradox for Trump and Vance is the more they squeeze Zelenskiy, the more Ukrainians rally to their president’s side. It’s a dynamic that was on show on the streets of Kyiv immediately after the Oval Office debacle. For now, the share of respondents who say they trust Zelenskiy rose to 65% from 57% in January, according to Feb. 20-21 survey by the Rating Group agency. That was surpassed only by trust for former top military commander Valerii Zaluzhnyi, now Ukraine’s ambassador to the UK, which held steady at 76%.Zelenskiy’s term expired in May of last year but neither his administration nor Ukrainians at large believe elections can be held now. Indeed, holding elections during martial law is not just legally prohibited, the practicalities of doing so rule it out. What’s more, parliament passed a resolution last week saying that Zelenskiy should remain in power as long as Russia’s war continues and that new elections may only be held once peace has been achieved. Public sentiment would suggest that even a change of president wouldn’t necessarily yield a leader more amenable to Trump and his plans for a rapid normalization of relations with Russia, however. Some 83% of Ukrainians surveyed by Rating Group said they’d agree to a cease-fire only under the condition that security guarantees are provided — the same sticking point that contributed to the scenes at the White House. Just 2% would agree to a cease-fire without conditions. That reality made the escalation inevitable, independently of Zelenskiy’s personal history with Trump.

“It would have happened anyway — if not now, then in a month or two. Trump’s priority for a speedy peace accord can only come on Putin’s terms, and “not a single Ukrainian leader would sign such a deal — even under the pressure of losing US support.”

Golda Meir is a former Prime Minister of Israel, born in Kyiv. Unfortunately, nothing has changed in 60 years.

Our destiny cannot and will not be determined by others

"We want to live. Our neighbors want to see us dead. This leaves little room for compromise."

The world is cruel, selfish and rude. It does not notice the suffering of small nations. Even the most enlightened governments, democracies led by decent people representing decent people, are not too inclined to think about the problem of justice in international relations. [...]

We cannot always accept their advice and therefore must have the courage to look at things realistically and act as our instinct for self-preservation tells us."

If we have a choice between dying and causing universal sympathy or surviving with a bad image, then it is better to stay alive.

How can I explain the difference between America and Russia?… The America I knew was a place where people on horses escorted trade union marchers, and the Russia I knew was a place where people on horses killed young socialists and Jews.”

Johnsilk

This blogger's profile is very interesting. He is an FSB agent nicknamed Pinocchio, before the war he was sanctioned by the US for interfering in the elections. He has been in prison for 2 years already. He collaborated with the FSB for a long time and was also an agent.

https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%94%D1%83%D0%B1%D0%B8%D0%BD%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9,_%D0%90%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80_%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%87

In August, in one of his interviews, Vance said that he doesn't care what happens to Ukraine. This random person who became Vice President came to the Munich Conference in Europe and taught them how they should live, honestly. None of the European leaders showed him the door! Musk allows himself to tell citizens of European countries what kind of prime minister or chancellor they should have. The US President constantly lies when talking about 350 billion in aid to Ukraine, in fact 96 billion. What kind of president should the country have, who is the dictator and what is his rating. The US protects Europe, perhaps, but Germany was banned from having nuclear weapons. Allow Germany to create its own nuclear weapons and protection from the US will not be needed. Zelensky was not in a suit, and Musk wears a T-shirt in the White House. As Mussalini said to friends - everything and to enemies the law.

I am not a fan of President Z. His trust rating is somewhere around 35%-40%. But after yesterday's meeting, the trust rating increased to 70%. The country and its citizens are ready to fight. The citizens of Ukraine want peace more than anyone else in this world. The US has no money, they are reducing their budget deficit. Perhaps the US is ready to sell weapons. Ukraine was ready for this. Zelensky refused the deal - to freeze the war! Very interesting, show this deal? The line along which the war should stop? Show putin's proposals other than Ukraine not joining NATO??? How can you refuse something that does not exist, except for the fantasies of the new US administration! The most powerful army in the world that shamefully fled Afghanistan, leaving hundreds of thousands of loyal citizens there to be torn apart by the Taliban? A country that lost two wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, spending 3+ trillion dollars with zero results. Half of Iraq is controlled by Iran, the Taliban returned to Afghanistan? What is the greatness of this country that it can't put out the fire in California because there is no water in the hydrants, a country that can't solve the problem with eggs, but teaches the whole world how to live? One of the problems of President Z's team is that they play the role of a victim. Ukraine is a country that has been fighting against the second army in the world for the third year. The second army in the world was able to conquer a lot. They couldn't take Pokrovsk.

Indeed! One million soldiers are fighting at the front. The opinion of idiots is out of agenda.

Thank you very much for the feedback. I am sure that we need to be patient for a maximum of one year. The war has been going on for three years already. Within a year it will be clear where everything is going.

Https://forbes.ua/ru/company/tsiliti-v-zhevago-popasti-u-black-rock-dbr-khoche-natsionalizuvati-polovinu-poltavskogo-gzk-shcho-ne-tak-z-tsim-rishennyam-20022025-27362

Part3 At the same time, the security forces are putting pressure on the company. Various law enforcement agencies are investigating seven cases regarding Ferrexpo enterprises in Ukraine, said Viktor Lotous, head of Poltava GOK. In particular, the police suspect the company of illegally selling waste from the production of iron ore pellets for UAH 157 billion. Ferrexpo denies all accusations.What are the chances of nationalizing Poltava Mining and Processing Plant in 2025?

On February 12, 2025, Volodymyr Zelensky imposed lifelong personal sanctions against Zhevago. They provide for the blocking of assets, the complete cessation of trading operations and the withdrawal of capital, a ban on participation in privatization, leasing of state property, etc.

Although sanctions do not directly allow the nationalization of assets, the fact of their introduction allows the HACC to make a decision in favor of the Ministry of Justice, explains Stanislav Borys, Managing Partner of the Vidar Law Firm. “To nationalize assets, the Ministry of Justice must prove that the owner of the assets poses a threat to national security,” says Borys. “And this has already been established when the National Security and Defense Council made a decision on sanctions.”

In 2024, the Ministry of Justice filed 27 lawsuits with the HACC on the nationalization of assets, of which the court satisfied 85%, or 25 lawsuits. "We have created a clear algorithm of actions for processing each decision of the National Security and Defense Council, in relation to each person to whom the blocking sanction has been applied," the press service of the ministry quotes Deputy Minister of Justice Inna Bogatykh as saying.

Among the most high-profile nationalizations are assets of exclusively Russian businessmen: Mikhail Fridman's Sens Bank, Eduard Khudainatov's share of the Shell gas station chain, Oleg Deripaska's Nikolaev Alumina Plant, and the Rotenberg family's Ocean Plaza.here is a weak point in the law enforcement position. It is not known how exactly Zhevago's share in Poltava Mining and Processing Plant was calculated. The Ministry of Justice wants to nationalize 49.5% of the shares of Poltava Mining and Processing Plant, which is 100% owned by the Swiss Ferrexpo.

Zhevago's share in the parent company is also 49.5%. But how will the Ministry of Justice determine that it nationalized the part of the plant that belongs to Zhevago, and not, for example, to BlackRock? It may turn out that the Ministry of Justice nationalizes proportionally the shares of all shareholders, and not just Zhevago, says Dragon Capital analyst Denis Sakva.

"A share in a parent company cannot be automatically transferred to a subsidiary share," says Boris from the Vidar law firm. "Law enforcement agencies most likely have a poor justification for this."

Part2

History of the conflict between Zelensky and Zhevago

Zhevago's relationship with Zelensky did not work out immediately after the latter's victory in the elections. In mid-2019, Zhevago refused the offer of the presidential office to pay off the debts remaining after the bankruptcy of the Finance and Credit bank, according to interlocutors involved in the negotiations and Zhevago himself.

After that, the Prosecutor General's Office put Zhevago on the international wanted list in the Finance and Credit bank case. However, in 2023, the Supreme Court of France in Paris refused to satisfy the Ukrainian side's request to extradite the businessman.

The chance to nationalize part of the Poltava Mining and Processing Plant appeared in September 2022. The Northern Commercial Court of Appeal returned 40.19% of the shares of the Poltava Mining and Processing Plant to four companies that owned them 20 years ago. In 2002, Zhevago acquired this stake for $27 million from the VS Energy group, whose beneficiaries included Russian businessmen Alexander Babakov, Evgeny Giner and Mikhail Voevodin. One of the leaders of Servant of the People said at the time that the state was considering the possibility of nationalizing 40.19% of PGOK after returning this stake to the Russian beneficiaries. However, in April 2023, the Supreme Court sided with Ferrexpo. The victory turned into another problem for Zhevago.

History of the conflict between Zelensky and Zhevago

Zhevago's relationship with Zelensky did not work out immediately after the latter's victory in the elections. In mid-2019, Zhevago refused the offer of the presidential office to pay off the debts remaining after the bankruptcy of the Finance and Credit bank, according to interlocutors involved in the negotiations and Zhevago himself.

After that, the Prosecutor General's Office put Zhevago on the international wanted list in the Finance and Credit bank case. However, in 2023, the Supreme Court of France in Paris refused to satisfy the Ukrainian side's request to extradite the businessman.

The chance to nationalize part of the Poltava Mining and Processing Plant appeared in September 2022. The Northern Commercial Court of Appeal returned 40.19% of the shares of the Poltava Mining and Processing Plant to four companies that owned them 20 years ago. In 2002, Zhevago acquired this stake for $27 million from the VS Energy group, whose beneficiaries included Russian businessmen Alexander Babakov, Evgeny Giner and Mikhail Voevodin

One of the leaders of the Servant of the People said at the time that the state was considering the possibility of nationalizing 40.19% of PGOK after returning this stake to the Russian beneficiaries. However, in April 2023, the Supreme Court sided with Ferrexpo. The victory turned into another problem for Zhevago.

I  had to buy a local subscription to Forbes magazine. This article fully confirms my claims that a planned attack is being carried out against the company to take the business away from all shareholders. A fine of 3.8 billion dollars gives the opportunity to take the company for debts to the state. There is a very good case of the company Mallinckrodt which went bankrupt due to huge fines from the US government. Ending the war/freezing will not solve the company's problems! This gives the company only one chance, that there will be elections and the current government will not be able to win. In Ukraine there will be a new government and president who will be able to solve the company's problem.

This is a translation of the article in Forbes magazine. Part 1

What is behind the government's attempt to nationalize the main asset of businessman Konstantin Zhevago, the fourth richest Ukrainian in the global Forbes ranking in 2024?

In addition to Poltava GOK, Ferrexpo also owns 100% of Yeristovsky GOK and 99.9% of Bilanovsky GOK. Why might the State Bureau of Investigation be interested in Poltava GOK?

The plant owns the largest iron ore reserves in Europe and focuses on the production of high-quality pellets - products with high added value. Poltava GOK produces more than 90% of Ferrexpo's pellets. 2024 is the most successful year for Poltava GOK during the entire war. The group increased pellet production by 58% to 6 million tons.The idea of nationalizing Zhevago's main asset, Poltava Mining and Processing Plant, was considered in the President's Office back in 2022, one of the leaders of the Servant of the People party said at the time. But they have not yet decided. The reason is that Zhevago owns 49.5% of the parent company Ferrexpo, registered in Switzerland. The remaining shares are distributed between the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund, investment companies BlackRock and UBS, and other investors.

"Ferrexpo shares are listed on the stock exchange, so foreign investors will suffer [from nationalization]," one of the leaders of the Servant of the People party said in 2022. pocket party of President Z History of the conflict between Zelensky and ZhevagoZhevago's relationship with Zelensky did not work out immediately after the latter's victory in the elections. In mid-2019, Zhevago refused the offer of the presidential office to pay off the debts remaining after the bankruptcy of the Finance and Credit bank, according to interlocutors involved in the negotiations and Zhevago himself.

After that, the Prosecutor General's Office put Zhevago on the international wanted list in the Finance and Credit bank case. However, in 2023, the Supreme Court of France in Paris refused to satisfy the Ukrainian side's request for the businessman's extradition.

The Russian Empire fought the most in its history with the Ottoman Empire, 7 times. Turkey is one of the few countries putin is afraid of. Turkey shot down a plane, Turkey almost drove russia out of Syria and Armenia. Erdogan did not allow putin to make Libya a second Syria.

Makrammond

Let's start with the fact that the people who started to take the business away from the key shareholder do not think so far. Moreover, they want to live in London. The former head of the National Bank of Ukraine Valeria Gontareva, who forced Zhevago to give guarantees to his bank with his assets, then deceived him. Now she is studying economics at the London School of Economics. When I look at a company like Ferrexpo and what it does for Ukraine, I am sure that such companies should be protected by the state. This is a chicken that lays platinum eggs. Ferrexpo is a TOP 10 investor in the country's economy, 2% of GDP and 3% of foreign exchange earnings, the 3rd global pellet company in the world. One of the most technologically advanced enterprises in the country. The only one company whose shares are listed on the London Stock Exchange. The budget of a huge region - Poltava - depends on the results of this company. This is the only company from the former USSR that sells its products to Nippon Steel. Unfortunately, we see a different picture. Zhevago will fight for his share in the company, how long it will take I do not know. I am waiting for the election of a new president.

JohnSilk:

Let's not touch on the war and further scenarios. As for the company and possible steps by the government. I'm sure they have some kind of plan. All actions are very well planned and coordinated. I don't know why Zhivago didn't take any of the former world politicians to the board of directors. The government wanted to nationalize the largest mobile operator Kyiv Star Veon Group, since their largest shareholder is the Russian oligarch from Alfa Group Mikhail Fridman. But the board of directors invited Mark Pompeo to the position of director on the board. All questions about the Kyiv Star company disappeared. To date, the company has no decisions from the anti-corruption court. Local lawyers say that Zhevago owns the company through Ferrexpo AG, Switzerland. He is not listed as an owner in the local registers. The shares cannot be seized, they are on the London Stock Exchange. Former President Poroshenko was included in the list with Zhevago, he has huge assets in Ukraine, but they are part of a trust. Zhevago is not a priority for the government now. They will start nationalizing assets from the former president, if they succeed, Zhevago will be next.

Johnsilk

Your forecast looks very optimistic. I want to add a few pessimistic notes that may affect the share price.

- We are waiting for the decision of the anti-corruption court on the nationalization of 49% of the shares of the key shareholder.

- Change of FEXPO local management to representatives of the corrupt government (this model was used during the nationalization of the largest Russian bank, Alfa-Bank).

- The new management withdraws the lawsuit for almost 100 million dollars from the Supreme Court and confirms the payment.

- Meeting of President Z with the new US President. I think that the new administration itself does not know what to do and how to end the war. They do not have an action plan. Over the past week, russian representatives have been regularly stating that they want to get all 4 regions (territories that have not yet been captured, including such large cities as Zaporozhe and Kherson) since they are included in the Russian constitution. President Z needs this meeting more to show that President T meets with him earlier than with putin.

- Today, the future new Chancellor of Germany confirmed the transfer of Taurus missiles in the near future after his election.

- The military reports that Russia is preparing for a spring-summer campaign to seize the Donetsk region. A new offensive is planned in the direction of Konstantinovka.

- The United States has stopped any military and financial aid in 2025. Ukraine continues to fight.

Perhaps you are right, probably from London or another European city everything looks much closer and simpler. It’s true that no one wants to ask Putin, but does he agree to change something? Time will show how it should be.

Let's avoid conspiracy theories. Nobody knows how it will be. I repeat this many times. One million soldiers are fighting with their own motivation and goals. No president will tell them, it's all war. War is not a washing machine, it's impossible to turn it off. The front is more than 1200 kilometers. The process of freezing the war is 3-6 months, new elections are another 7 months. The current government will be here for another year.

I will write only my opinion. As I wrote earlier, I will return to this company after the presidential elections with a different president. I am sure that President Z is manipulated by his corrupt entourage and all the problems that the company currently has were created by his entourage. Now there will be many trials and, moreover, I am sure that the key shareholder will win his case in court in London, as the YUKOS company did. This will take years. As for the share of 51% of other shareholders. The company has a huge fine that is equal to 2% of the country's GDP. This is complete absurdity. Their goal is to bankrupt the company and take over the management of state corrupt officials. While the huge fine and sanctions exist, I do not want to play in a casino. The sanctions will not be lifted with the current government. The end or freezing of the war will not help lift the sanctions and cancel the fine, only a new government can help the company. There are no other legal ways. My advice is to watch the events.

I think that within 2 weeks FEXPO management will announce "nationalization of 51%". I am sure that Zhevago will open a second front in the courts in Europe, but more on that later. My question is, how long will the shares be listed on the stock exchange?