Found a Fag Packet.....17 Aug 2017 16:35
Sorry .... actually a large post-it:
THIS IS NOT A RAMP , I ENJOY MATHS and used to do a lot of sales forecasting. All assumptions open to question , major ones highlighted. Figures taken from government stats where available. Question: Is the transport sector of interest?:
UK vehicles on road. Cars 32M , Vans 3.5M , HGV 0.5M
Average Miles per annum: C 8k , V 14k , H 30k
Average mpg's: C 38 V 33 H 10
Inferred gall/yr: C 210 V 424 H 3000
TOTAL Gallons consumed/annum = 9.7 Billion
Assumptions: 1kg H2 equiv to 1 Gallon of pet/diesl , 1kg of H2 to sell at £5 ( not £10 as current )
ITM pick up 5% of UK car/van traffic and 10% of HGV traffic ( battery lesser option here )
ITM Revenue / annum = £2.8 Billion
More assumptions.... Earnings after all costs etc = 5% of revenue , MCAP = 10 x Earnings
Gives MCAP of £ 1.4 Billion and SP @ £5.60
All open to question and calculations not checked. Bit of fun.....