RE: Trump said “phenomenon”8 Feb 2025 11:16
07:52
Maybe you'll be right, maybe you'll be wrong about Monday, milf51? However, for the fundamental investor, listening to the content of the press conference yesterday marks a reduction of risk within the PANR investment case. Therefore, all else being equal, PANR's equity *ought* to increase on Monday as the market discounts this new news. Of course, by what percentage it should increase is open to debate as some will assess it's full steam ahead with the LNG project and others will say no firm numbers (either direct investment in the project or long term purchase agreements) was mentioned.
Standout for me was the general tone whereby it now feels the Alaska LNG project is an inevitability...and that the fine details are just to be worked out and finalised.
More specifically, I hadn't really considered the possibility of a "joint venture" between the two countries. That would be an even higher classification of enterprise and most commentators would likely suggest that the whole project will simply *have* to be delivered in full because it's become part of both nation's political landscape, security landscape, energy landscape, etc, etc, for many decades to come.
So, fwiw, I reckon we should see a SP appreciation on Monday...with or without a Megrez specific RNS.
That said, I reckon the company would be short-sighted if they didn't issue a macro type RNS at 7am on Monday drawing the investment community's attention to the US/Japan summit, to the statements made by both leaders and reminding/educating the market of PANR's cornerstone role in the project. Perhaps remind the readers of the 500mmcf/d agreement, what it could equate to in annual revenue, how PANR's low CO2 gas is special, etc, etc.
It would be excellent if they also hammered home how valuable low CO2 gas is to the early stages of the project by informing readers if Megrez also contains low CO2 gas just like the Alkaid ZOI??? If this is the case, I repeat if, then this would almost certainly be viewed very, very favourably by the market as it would appear to suggest that, following a successful flow test campaign, Megrez will definitely be the first location to be developed => earlier cashflow, better EURs => higher NPV => better chance of securing early development capital => better chance of minimising working interest across the whole acreage.
Bring on Monday morning!