Hannam - TP reached based on old buy note30 Jul 2020 21:21
14 May 2020
Greatland Gold valued at 12.9p by Hannam & Partners, based on a US$1.67bn valuation for Havieron
Newcrest has thus far conducted a significant amount of drilling on Havieron
But just how big could it be?
“Whilst at this stage there is no JORC resource at Havieron” says Hannam, “using the previously released drill results, we have estimated a mineral inventory in the high-grade sulphide zone of 4.4mln ounces grading 6.7 grams per tonne and 130,000 tonnes at 0.6% copper. We model a 12-year, two million tonnes per year operation, with mining commencing in H2 2022 and ore being treated the Telfer mill. Our annual steady state production estimate is 330,000 ounces per year of gold and 9,300 tonnes per year of copper at an all-in sustaining cost of US$444 per ounce.”
Of the US$1.67bn valuation, Hannam attributes US$540.8mln to Greatland.
“We estimate a total capital cost for Havieron of US$158mln with US$34ln to be borne by Greatland, less than 10% of Greatland’s market cap. We believe this makes the Company a unique investment proposition versus peers due to its low capital cost requirements for such significant and high-margin production with low funding risk. In addition, having a high-quality partner like Newcrest constructing and operating Havieron significantly reduces execution risk, in our view, versus a scenario in which a junior has control of the project.”
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This doesn't include the Breccia discovery and future drilling success assuming of course that success is upheld