RE: Free Cash Hurricane26 Jul 2022 07:36
A very positive prognosis of Lanaster's development potential contained within the 'financial restructing scam' and this is based on a now sophisticated, working knowledge of Lancaster. This assessment is from Dr Doom himself. Well, if he can see the upside at Lancaster then I am sure others can as well. Look at the bullish recovery rates post development. Is it any wonder the bondholders tried to nick the company for pennies with such potential upside.......
This is from Maris in April 2021 -
'However, Hurricane believes it now has a better understanding of the well. It has put together updated business plan scenarios and has reviewed future development options for Lancaster with its technical advisors.
Three scenarios are:
+ No further investment in Lancaster, with operations to wind down once production is no longer economic, followed by decommissioning
+ Potential future recovery from the Lancaster field of 10 MMbbl
+ Lancaster production to average 8,500-10,500 b/d in 2021, based on output from the P6 well alone on artificial lift via ESP and a 90% production efficiency estimate. Lancaster is currently producing at 11,700 b/d from P6 with an associated water cut of 28%.
More positive action would include a side track of the existing P7z well (P8) being sanctioned by mid-2021 and drilled in 2022, designed to accelerate production, achieve a higher operating margin and improve production resiliency, and deliver first oil in July 2022.
Estimated capex is $84 million, with potential future recovery from Lancaster field of 11.6 MMbbl.
In addition, a water injector well would be drilled in 2023 following completion of P8 operations to improve the sweep efficiency of the Lancaster reservoir and support reservoir pressure.
Seismic acquisition may also be needed in summer 2022 to optimize design and downhole location of the water injector.
The water injector would be drilled from a seabed location within 400 m (1,312 ft) of the Lancaster manifold using existing subsea infrastructure (flowline, riser and umbilical). There would be a need for refurbishment of the water injection plant onboard the FPSO Aoka Mizu.
Hurricane estimates the associated capex at $96 million, but the additional measures could lift future recovery from the field to 18.7 MMbbl.'