RE: Barrick's got the Dosh!10 Aug 2020 23:28
I think any funds raised to fund the CapEx required for the Alpala development will happen in ENSA... rather than Solgold. We hold 85% of shares in ENSA and I believe that, similar to us securing our 1-1.5% NSR with Franco through our Alpala holding, we will do the same with the equity portion (or at least majority of equity raising) for Alpala....
Some people believe the updated NPV from the PFS will be in the region of (let's be conservative) $8b (through CapEx savings, better recovery rates, better commodity prices, lower discount rate)... let's ignore the other tenements as there is nothing proven (yet) so Solgold is, at present is Alpala...
40% (as a guesstimate of what someone would be willing to pay) of $8b is $3.2b or Β£2.4b or around Β£1.10 per share... tax in Australia (especially for higher tax payers, of which mr mather certainly is one) for capital gains is very punitive... #justsaying
However if is it is a mix of cash and shares as part of the offer (e.g. from Barrick) maybe the tax isn't as bad...?
I can't see this going for less than a Β£ a share and don't think he wants to get involved in potentially messy JVs (and he has said as much multiple times)...to be honest I think this is going to production UNLESS we get an offer for Β£1.50+ in my opinion, which, I don't think will come unless we get multiple parties involved.... i.e. Barrick, Chinese firms and potentially Japanese investment houses.... But who knows!?!? GLA and DYOR