Value29 Sep 2023 12:27
Without overly going into numbers, the math is quite simple. If Txp deliver goals on Coho and Cas production and deliver $100m cash flow then even low balling you have a market cap 3 times where it is now and a future potential dividend of 20% on current capital.
Positives - no exploration needed, fully funded, learnt from previous wells, infrastructure mainly in place.
Risks - Cac C not as expected, Coho still does not deliver optimal rates, production rates decline quicker than expected.
I personally don't see any issue at Cas and Coho is not the game changer so I think for most PIs the biggest risk is time, it's been a long time coming and there's still a few laps to go.
For me I will add, to my SIPP, where time is less important and at this SP with current production it's a safer investment than risking your future income on typical aim companies with no revenues. Good luck all.