RE: cornflake hat1 Jun 2017 18:48
Hi Vienna - been a good and a bad day - I have a decent holding of shares in IDP up 20% today and thankfully less in SMA, which of course went the other way.
Looking at the current situation, on reflection the SP was too high as it gave the company an mcap of some £3.25m which gave a value IMHO over the cash held (which was no surprise), the value of the VG holding and the value of the AIM listing of about £1.25m. , a net £2m. Now the mcap is just over £2m, so in fact in my view, the selling has arguably been overdone as it often is.
Yes there is a risk that no deal will be done in time, but the RNS does give reasonable hope that in the next 7 weeks, an RTO will be arranged. And if so, that is not priced in. Even if the share is suspended, the company does ultimately have a further 6 months after then to arrange something.
In that the RNS refers to the Company intending to appoint a new CEO in due course who will complement the anticipated new direction of the Company and who it is planned will be based in India, IMHO they would not say that if they did not expect the Indian acquisition to take place.
IMHO for anyone prepared to take the risk now, this could give them a decent profit if all goes to plan.
I am keeping my holdings in SMA and may even add if the SP falls further. In GC I trust.