RE: £311 Mar 2022 14:19
Three possible outcomes, plus there will be options in between. Do your own risk analysis.
1. Poly folds and we lose everything
2. We lose the Russia assets, keep the KAZ ones and diversify elsewhere, say £7 per share
3. War ends, back to normal, £16 a share
My assessment is a probability split of 5%/60%/35%, giving a factored value of £12.60
A gamble sure, but heavily weighted for the longs IMO