RE: AI Revenue and Profit Model - Its a BUY for me18 Mar 2026 09:04
1. Annual gold production
30
oz/day ×365 =10,950 oz/year
So NTVO would be producing ~11,000 oz per year.
🪙 2. Revenue at $3,500 gold
10,950 oz×$3,500=$38,325,000
Annual revenue ≈ $38.3 million
⚙️ 3. Operating cost assumptions
Small underground narrow‑vein mines typically run:
$800–$1,200 per oz all‑in cost
Let’s use the midpoint: $1,000/oz
10,950×1,000=$10,950,000
Annual operating cost ≈ $11 million
💰 4. Net profit (before tax, interest, depreciation)
$38.3𝑀−$11𝑀=$27.3𝑀
⭐ Estimated net profit ≈ $27 million per year
Even if costs were higher:
High‑cost case ($1,200/oz):
10
,
950
×
1
,
200
=
13.14
𝑀
38.3
𝑀
−
13.14
𝑀
=
25.16
𝑀
Low‑cost case ($800/oz):
10
,
950
×
800
=
8.76
𝑀
38.3
𝑀
−
8.76
𝑀
=
29.54
𝑀
So the realistic profit range is:
👉 $25M–$30M per year net profit
🏁 5. What does that imply for valuation?
Producers of this size typically trade at:
3–5× annual cashflow (micro‑cap discount)
Sometimes 6–8× if stable and derisked
Using the $27M profit figure:
Low multiple (3×): $81M
Mid multiple (4×):** $108M
High multiple (5×):** $135M
Converted to GBP (≈0.8):
£65M–£110M valuation range
This is far above where most micro‑cap pre‑producers trade — meaning the upside is enormous if they actually deliver 30 oz/day consistently.