Dark forces at work17 Dec 2021 05:01
For the sake of simplicity, let us equate GGP with Havieron, disregarding the other assets fot the moment.
At 25p broker price the set-up is valued by the market at a nice round £1bn.. Current 12.5p makes for an easy calc.
Which one is FMV? Whilst SD, backed by his recurring open-in-all-directions data, constantly talks up the resource, conversely we see ever-decreasing value. This is plain manipulation. Somebody wants that sp down. The greatest beneficiary here is Newcrest. 5% of £1bn is £50m. If the current sp is FMV, they can take it for £25m, a big saving.
It gets worse for GGP shareholders when the remaining 30% of the Co. is up for grabs. An offer can now come in at 20p, that being a 50% premium to the present valuation. Even after a bidding war, 20p , being a 50% premium,,suddenly is looking like a good take-out price.
Is it a stealth thing with a big ii at work, there are plenty of corrupt ones out there with form for doing the dirty work of price-fixing. Never mind the effects of 5%. 30% of GGP gives a valuation now of just £150m, as opposed to double that a few months ago. A game is being played out here. Stealing the Co. is the prize.