RE: Agreements by majors with Tanzanian Government14 Jul 2024 07:58
There is little doubt Magufuli was not a good leader, but acacia were accused of under reporting the gold coming from the ground hence the reason for the tax bill. I don't know the full outcome other than Barrick took them over in 2019.
Since Magafuli, Samia has been president and she's been doing a great job turning the country around.
She has been attracting masses of foreign investment and only in the last couple of months has been promoting the clean cooking initiative which has created masses of interest and investment from countries around the world including the UK who donated £50 million just to support the promotion of it.
Thanks to Aminex in the south of the country for exploring and finding a potential 6.7 tcf of gas, now fully funded to production by Omani partner ARA, The Samia gov have granted a PSA and GSA for 25yr FFD With a further drill to take place this year and the gov to build a pipeline with the deadline the first quarter next year when production is due to start and gas delivered to the people that will save the lives of thousands of women and children, I think she will safely be returned come the end of next year.
Each company will no doubt have its own terms and conditions but in their case the gov have 15% back in rights which they haven't yet taken up. That sort of figure would not be unusual and I would be fairly confident there will be a similar clause in the helium one exploration licence.
Dealing with governments is never easy because of the amount of red tape and number of different departments that have to be in agreement with each other. There is no quick and easy route but that is the same the world over, but it is the exploration license that sets out the terms and conditions a company must meet in order to gain the right to a development license.
One of the key ones these days being to attain an environmental study which Helium One are currently halfway through their 12 month study. That being one of the most expensive parts of the development application I doubt very much they would have spent that sort of money without knowing they have some level of commerciality which the EWT will hopefully prove up in the coming six weeks.
As shown in the above example, there is a route to development and no sane company would invest millions of dollars without having a route to that development written in a contract.
Of course Black swan events can happen at any time so there is never any guarantee in anything, so that is part of the risk that we investors take in the same way we risk our lives when we decide to cross the road.
We invest in the future and what it might bring. We don't invest in the past because it has gone.
This is a massive buy for me atm. At $500/mcf the risk to reward is massive.
Good luck