It is still climbing. Last NAV of 148p was prepared using 17th Nov prices so Wise has changed from 595 to 543 current. Wise only accounts for 2% of total value. I would like to think any scrutiny will make us more informed about the future value of CHRY but it sometimes defies logic. Next NAV in 4 weeks!
I suppose they are saying it is a buy.
9th September 2022
Shepherding its portfolio through the storm
In its first three years, Chrysalis Investments (CHRY) generated significant net asset value (NAV) and share price returns for investors by building an exciting portfolio of fast-growing, disruptive and potentially market-leading companies. An abrupt change in sentiment towards these types of businesses has since impacted on CHRY's NAV, with falls in the values of listed investments and a notable write down in the valuation of Klarna. However, this is set against good news coming from portfolio companies such as Starling Bank and wefox.
In a market where financing for growth companies has become harder to obtain, CHRY is fortunate to have cash on hand from its first full exit to support portfolio companies, if needed. However, increasingly, these businesses are becoming profitable and cash-generative.
The extreme discount that CHRY's shares trade at relative to NAV represents a significant cushion against any further bad news. In time, sentiment will switch back, and if the portfolio lives up to the potential that the advisers believe it has, CHRY's current share price has a long way to climb.
Abridged version:
'You are always running a risk buying – or indeed tipping – an investment trust that is trading at a premium, and Questor’s advice to readers in June last year to buy shares in Chrysalis Investments at an 18pc premium has rather proved that rule.
That premium has now morphed into a discount of about 56pc. As is often the case with trusts, movements in the discount or premium amplify what is happening to the value of the actual portfolio – the net asset value – and in the case of Chrysalis, the NAV has also fallen severely since our tip.
Take the two things together and we are in the red to the tune of about 70pc.
Partly, in Questor’s view, this reflects the fact that the NAVs of trusts that invest in unquoted assets are updated with a time lag that usually runs to three or six months.
But there is nothing to prevent improved investor sentiment lifting the share price (in other words, narrowing the discount), and the fact that this has not happened suggests to this column that investors have given up on the trust.
This feels like the point of maximum pessimism – the best time to buy, even if strong nerves will be needed.
Questor says: buy'
Agricore - thanks for your analysis. The RNS also mentioned the improvement in WISE from 30/06 at 297p to 541p. +80%. (510p today).
A lot of ETF's are down compared to Dec 2021. I agree that CHRY is unfashionable at the moment. Some of it self inflicted but they have now improved process a lot. Let's hope for better sentiment about the large discount to NAV.