RE: China30 Jun 2025 15:17
PBOW,
I accept your points about Cangrejos.
Cascabel is a large copper-gold project with a mine life of over 50 years, while Cangrejos is mainly a gold project expected to run for about 25 years. Cascabel stands out because it has much more copper, giving it higher overall metal value and making it more attractive to majors that are targeting long-life copper assets for the energy transition. Cangrejos, being mostly gold with limited copper, doesn’t have the same appeal to copper-focused buyers.
In terms of ore quality, Cascabel has a clear edge. The high-grade core of the Alpala deposit includes copper equivalent grades over 1%, with some areas going beyond 1.5% CuEq. The gold grades in that core are also solid, averaging close to 1 g/t, with some long intercepts above that. These grades support strong early cash flow in a block-cave setup. Cangrejos, on the other hand, averages about 0.55 g/t AuEq, which is quite low for a bulk-tonnage gold deposit and leaves it more exposed to cost inflation and metal price swings.
Cascabel is also further along in development, having completed a PFS with a DFS on the way. Cangrejos has done a PFS too, but it's not as technically advanced and hasn’t moved toward final engineering or permitting yet.
Cascabel also carries more strategic weight globally because of its size and copper dominance. Cangrejos, while still a large deposit, hasn’t generated the same kind of interest from a wide range of majors.
That’s why Cangrejos has only realised around 10 to 15 percent of its NAV, whereas Cascabel, could realise a more usual 80% to 110% of its NAV. There is also Tandy, Porvenir and the other tenements to consider, Tandy in the context of being part of Cascabel but possibly able to start gold production faster via open pit mining.
In summary, Cascabel and the resources of Solgold more broadly, justify a significantly larger prospective factor to NAV.