Q4 2023 - "Show me the money, Jerry"15 Feb 2024 14:01
Without Prejudice.
This short summary is based on data available from the WOGCC website. In the absence of data made available by COPL directly, reference to the WOGCC has been made in good faith in preparing this summary which has reached its conclusions on a ‘best endeavours’ basis and using the data available from the WOGCC website. As such, the findings shown here are not guaranteed.
July and August are examples of a productive year at BFSU in 2022. 236, 398 Mcf was injected in July and August production was 62, 415 BBLS.
Forward to 2023, August injection was 99,534 Mcf. September was 109,961 Mcf, October 124565 Mcf, November 108,822 Mcf and December 78,394 Mcf. Oil production for the last 4 months of 2023 was 34,438 BBLS, 33,903 BBLS, 31,978 BLLS and 33,143 BBLS respectively.
It can be seen from the above that, AT NO STAGE DURING Q4 2023, did injection or production get anywhere close to the levels achieved in 2022 even though the 2022 production relied on plastic infrastructure not fit for purpose and, by Q4 2023, BFSU benefitted from brand new and fit for purpose updated equipment.
Consideration has been given to ‘perceived top-up’ i.e. the difference between produced and flared gas v injected gas. Produced and flared is what is coming out of the ground, injected is what is going in.
We were told via RNS on 15 November 2023 that ‘COPL was able to use working capital to increase NGL injection at the BFSU at double the rate compared to previous periods’. This remark does not make sense based on the WOGCC data for the period in question as referred to above.
We were told via the RNS dated 6 October 2023 that ‘ the Company plans to spend over $500,000 on NGL injectant in ach of October and November to increase the density of NGL’s in the gas injection.
Based on pure butane at $ 2.5/mscf, we estimate top up in October and November of around 60Mmscf so about $ 150,000 in total. Far short of the $1 million referred to in the RNS. Based on this, what happened to the $850,000?
In summary, there is no surprise that Q4 production go nowhere close to that achieved in 2022. BFSU is an EOR field dependent on injectant to drive production. Injectant in Q4 was WAY short of the figures from 2022. What happened to injection in October and November 2023 and where is the estimated $850,000 that should have been invested in NGL?
Tom Richardson was appointed Chairman of COPL on 6 September 2023 which was the same day that John Cowan was appointed CEO. As key executives of COPL during Q4 2023, what do they have to say about the above?