RE: Large buys coming through…26 Nov 2024 19:16
Well, I was wrong on the (no) profit prediction, but seems to be only due to accounting shenanigans and a tax credit, which I guess would be due to them predicting much higher revenue from NL.
Which clearly is not the case - I had to double take and reread that LDS-1 is done and dusted, that's a shocker.
Typical PMG smoke and mirrors stating that gross NL production is up. That is purely because LDS-01 was on line for a few months. Now it's dead. Net production to PMG is now the lowest it's ever been. Revenue down from £14.8m to £5.7m gives a much clearer picture of the situation.
Makes a change that they're actually announcing relinquishments and end of Grolloo production next year - in advance - most unlike typical PMG announcements!
Good that they're talking about selling off Skerryvore (and ??), that could raise a few pennies but likely not a lot - it's explo.
No progress on the windfarm (yawn) and nothing concrete on new NL activity for the foreseeable - entirely in Vermilion's hands, they've been talking about progressing Papekop for 10+ years.
The three windmills still don't quite cover TC's salary.
And I was wrong on the TC retirement too dammit..... But reading between the lines, they can see NL revenue is going to look awful in 6 months' time and years before a possible production increase, there's many years before any new wind farm will be generating revenue, so a sale (possibly the whole rather than just the offshore 'assets') is looking imminent to me.
Ho hum. Well done to anyone who was able to get a small flip today. I'm still holding my small free carry...to the end (maybe)!