Analyst's new positive comments10 Apr 2015 09:32
Beaufort Securities have just e-mailed this out:
"Fox Marble (FOX.L, 17.75p) - Speculative Buy
Fox Marble, the AIM-quoted group focused on marble quarrying and finishing in Kosovo and the Balkans region, yesterday announced it had received orders from the prestige home division of Berkeley Homes Plc, for two different types of marble (white and grey). This will be supplied to its Chelsea Creek development throughout the rest of 2015. This order has a total value of €570,000 of cut and polished slabs and is in addition to the previous orders for 900sqm of polished slabs of the Company's grey Argento Grigio marble, which was announced in January 2015 and has already been delivered to site. Fox also reported initial small scale orders for its red, Rosso Cait, marble have been received and fulfilled for customers in Egypt. The Company's order book now stands in excess of €2.8 million of which €2 million is expected to be realised during 2015. The Group’s factory building is now nearing completion, requiring a further 10 or so days of uninterrupted work in Pristina, whereafter time equipment will start to be shipped from Italy for installation in the building.
Our view:
Marble is not a mineral that can be commoditised and multi-graded like oil or gold. Although its global market is valued at around US$15bn annually, the fact is that sales are driven more by desirability and availability than need or utility, which means that it remains something of a ‘cottage industry’ (as is often the case with luxury or bespoke value-added goods). The fact that Berkeley Homes has now extended its order is clear testament of the both the premium quality and volume consistency that Fox’s quarries are able to provide. Marble buyers, of course, operate in a conservative manner, understanding that above all their reputation for delivery on time, on price and in the quantities promised is all. As a wholesale provider, this is what has restrained the Group over the past couple of years. But with its factory finally nearing completion while commencing a quite dramatic ramp-up of production in tandem with rising buyers confidence, sales targets envisaged in Beaufort research of the past year now look set to be met or exceeded.
Fox Marble effectively has an infinite on-surface resource across a wide range of rare and unblemished marbles. It is presently cash rich, while capital costs have already been committed with little further expenditure anticipated going forward. Labour and transportation costs are low, yet global demand continues to increase while pricing remains firm and rising. Against this, Group operations looks set to become exceptionally cash generative very quickly, with management committed to distribute any the surplus in the form of dividends. The first result of this could even be seen this financial year. The reality is that the value of Fox’s licences, which place an in-situ value of