Beaufort - still a Buy, 23p target18 Jan 2017 10:18
Beaufort Securities, with a 23p price target, say DKL are a Buy on a P/E of just 7.3 this year and 5.4 next year:
"Our view: DekelOil is delivering on its promises. Joining the dividend list is a major achievement for any company, let alone one that only came to market in 2013 with the vision to provide a much-needed outlet for fresh fruit bunches grown by thousands of local smallholders by building one of West Africa's largest crude palm oil extraction mills. With its state of the art site entering its fourth year of operations, the Group’s balance sheet is now more reflective of the profitable palm oil producer it is today.
Having recently confirmed a 100% interest in Ayenouan, it has a cash generative platform in place that can fund not only regular dividends, but also its future expansion plans both at Ayenouan and elsewhere. Such news is transforming non-believers who often remain sceptical of African agri operations, while also discounting the significance of yesterday’s disappointing sales volumes during Q4’2016. During this period, a 25% decline in gathered FFBs, knocked production by 19% and sales by 50%. Recovery from such a seasonal aberration is already underway, however, with average local CPO prices spiking back to around €700/tonne which should repair much of the damage inflicted. Volumes, pricing and extraction levels for the kernel oil crushing plant also remain ahead of management expectations. All-in-all the overall message for shareholders must be that they cannot discount some form of annual production interruption, to the extent that it is prudent for Beaufort to trim back its most ambitious revenue and profit expectations, until activity levels are seen to regularise.
The shares nevertheless still remain much too chap for what DekelOil now appears capable of delivering. Based on a 0.17p/share dividend, the equity yielded 1.4% for FY2016, which rises to an estimated 1.7% this year. Based on a reduced 2017E revenues of £35.0m, followed by £38m in 2018E, the shares presently trade on earnings multiples of just 7.3x and 5.4x respectively. The shares remain on Beaufort’s Buy list."
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