RE: Tipped by Simon Thompson4 Jul 2017 10:48
Here's the full tip - he's increased his target price to a still conservative (imo) 275p-300p:
"Gama shares in the ascent
Aim-traded shares in Gama Aviation (GMAA:240p), an operator of privately owned jet aircraft, hit my 250p target price last week, having risen by 15 per cent since my full-year results call with finance director Kevin Godley and chief executive Marwan Khalek ('Five small-cap buys', 29 Mar 2017). I previously advised buying at the start of the year at 175p ('In the ascent', 23 Jan 2017), although this has proved to be a volatile holding and the price is now only back above the 225p level at which I initiated coverage, albeit it did subsequently hit a high of 380p in late 2014 ('Ready for take-off', 12 May 2014).
That said, this year's share price recovery looks fully warranted. The company's robust pre-close trading update ahead of half-year results on Wednesday 19 July is highly supportive of adjusted EPS, rising by 10 per cent to 33¢ as forecast by analyst John Cummins at brokerage WH Ireland.
Gama's fast-growing US aircraft management business continues to generate strong organic growth and is also benefiting from the Landmark fleet joint venture with BBA Aviation (BBA). Importantly, "right sizing" the company's European air business and exiting from underperforming contracts is paying off and this unit is on target to deliver modest growth. Modest growth is materialising from the European ground services business, too, underpinned by "increased maintenance activity from contract wins announced at the start of the year, as well as the return of some discretionary aircraft improvements and modifications spend".
Importantly, the directors "are focused on building on the improvements in operating margins, working capital and cash conversion that we delivered in 2016". That's important for the company to achieve its target of halving net debt to a range $9m to $10m by the December year-end. It's also supportive of the progressive dividend policy, and further bolt-on acquisitions. Last year's acquisitions of FlyerTech and Aviation Beauport are on track to achieve their budgeted growth after posting strong first-quarter results, and "are working on enhancing cross-selling opportunities and new joint sales initiatives within Gama's European air and ground services divisions".
Trading on 9.5 times forward earnings, representing a 40 per cent ratings discount to peers, and with another upbeat outlook statement likely later this month, I am upgrading my target price to a range between 275p and 300p to reflect the operational improvements being made and de-risking of earnings estimates. Buy."