Beaufort see almost 100% upside28 Sep 2017 10:03
Beaufort Securities today retain their 23p target.
They forecast 1.77p EPS this year and 2.42p EPS next year - those are P/E's of 6.9 falling to just 5.1.....
"Our View: Impressive stuff! The first half of 2017 saw DekelOil acquire 100% of Ayenouan, further strengthen its balance sheet, pay out a maiden dividend and report record sales and profits. There is clear momentum behind the business, both at the operational and corporate level and Beaufort expects this to be maintained going forward. Having proven its business plan, management is now keen to roll-out its vertically integrated model, which includes a state of the art nursery, mill, and company-owned estates, elsewhere in the region.
At Guitry, operations have already formally commenced and the Board remains in discussions to acquire an interest in Norpalm Ghana Limited ('NGL'), a vertically integrated palm oil producer in Western Ghana which has approximately 4,000 hectares of mature palm plantations under ownership and produces some 15,000 tonnes of CPO a year from a 30t/hr mill. In addition to the revenue it generates from selling this produce into the domestic Ghanaian market, NGL also operates a palm kernel oil press which produces approximately 2,000 tn of PKO. There can be no guarantee current discussions will result in DekelOil acquiring NGL, but they nevertheless demonstrate management's confidence in its ability to replicate success already achieved.
Having proven both the operating model and ability to implement it, shareholders should be reasonably confident of further progress as DekelOil seeks to transform itself into a leading West African palm oil producer. Indeed, Beaufort considers DekelOil is capable of producing as much as �2.7m free cashflow during 2017E, followed by around �6m the year after. Importantly also, yesterday's update demonstrates management willingness to move its ambitious planning forward without exposing shareholders to a higher risk profile.
Based on 2017E and 2018E revenues estimates of �33.1m and �36.8m, delivering fully-diluted earnings 1.77p and 2.42p respectively, the shares trade on forward multiples of just 6.9x and 5.1x respectively while offering yields of 1.6% and 1.8%.
Beaufort retains its Buy recommendation on DekelOil, while repeating its price target of 23p/share."