Tipped as Buy in SCSW18 Apr 2019 11:49
For the record here's what SCSW had to say in their last but one issue (s/be Ok to post now as enough time has passed):
"Watkin Jones
230p Epic code: WJG
(Sharewatch)
The last full year results to be presented by Mark Watkin Jones, the ninth member of the family to run the firm, show the business is being left in good shape. For the year to September, sales rose 20% to £363m, pretax profit by 16% to £50.1m and eps by 14% to 16p - all new records. The balance sheet also strengthened further with £80.2m cash, following £54m cash inflow.
To recap, Watkin Jones’ historical mainstay has been student accommodation development where it buys land, builds accommodation blocks and sells the whole development to institutional investors. Gross profit from this area rose strongly to £60.7m - 84% of group - on sales up 22% at £312.7m. Adjusting for the impact of forward sales, the gross margin for the year was 20.7% and was above the group’s target of 20%.
What makes this such a strong business is that it doesn’t build speculatively but always forward sells sites before breaking ground. Sites can take two to three years to build out, which provides excellent visibility. FY18 deliveries comprised 3,415 beds and there are nine sites (4490 beds) forward sold for delivery in FY19 and FY20 with roughly half falling into each of the two years.
The rest of the gross profit came from managing accommodation, house building and also a move into the Build to Rent space. You may recall when I profiled the shares last year that Watkin Jones had begun to use its existing skill set from purpose built student digs to move into the Build to Rent space whereby an institutional investor agrees to buy a complete block of purpose built rental apartments. Just like with the student accommodation a few years ago, there are structural imbalances.
Watkin Jones’ first Build to Rent deal with investors is for c.1,500 apartments in Reading and Wembley across seven sites, for delivery in FY20 to FY22. As with student accommodation, profits are recognised on a percentage completion basis.
Berenberg forecasts eps of 17.8p for the year. Richard Simpson, Unite’s former property manager who took the helm on 2 January, should have plenty of positive news when he reports in April. Buy."