Summary of SCSW tip for BMS17 Jan 2022 11:11
The new issue of SCSW was out this weekend. In case anyone didn't know, BMS were one of the main new Buy tips in last month's issue. It should be OK to publish details now since the new issue is out.
Here's a couple of extracts:
"Braemar Shipping - Plans to double in size in 3/4 years"
"The pandemic has reminded the world just how almost everything in our homes has, at some point, been transported by ship or lorry. About 80% of the goods we consume - including electronics, clothes, medicines and processed food products - are shipped in containers and average dry cargo charter rates (what it costs to ship a container from China to Europe) have tripled since the start of the year.
Plans to double in size within 3/4 years
Braemar acts as agent to the owners and charterers of vessels and alongside shipbroking, it provides a comprehensive range of services in sale & purchase (S&P), new buildings and demolition. Going into the pandemic it wouldn’t have been considered a growth share investment; the industry is notoriously cyclical. But when charter rates and asset values rise, so too does its income and Braemar is ambitious; chief executive James Gundy, a life long shipbroker who joined two years ago, plans to double Braemar in size in the next 3-4 years through organic growth and acquisitions from a baseline of £112m sales and pretax profit of £8.1m (in the year to February 2021)."
"On top of this, Braemar is planning investments in the core business to meet a newly-stated aim of doubling the size of its shipbroking operations within four years. It intends to do this through a mix of acquisitions and organic growth, which will involve hiring new brokers covering not only existing segments and geographies but also new supplementary markets. It pays these incoming brokers cash upfront and they then join its team with a book of business. Stone says Braemar is strongest in tankers, specialised tankers, dry cargo and S&P but there are still opportunities to increase its US presence, develop European offices and grow its renewables capacity further.
Current forecasts obviously don’t reflect any such acquisitions or any potential growth in headcount and forecasts are unusually flat at 23p for each of the next three years, which reflects one segment waxing whilst the other is waning. The shares are cheap on a PE of 9x and Clarkson has just said trading is running ahead of market expectations - so it seems acquisitions, when they come, will fuel the fire. I am a buyer."
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