RE: Déjà vu times two?28 Jan 2025 09:31
Always read your posts very carefully and take on board the points you make and the spirit in which you make them. Thank you. At the risk of over simplification: it's likely that PCIP will undershoot sales by approximately £2m this year and that pushes back break-even/profit by at least a year. So anyone might think that the accounts not being at CH is deliberately designed to muddy the water and make it harder for any potential buyer to swoop and buy PCIP, giving them the breathing space to the next FY results. For now, 2.5 times sales makes PCIP's market cap look cheap enough for investors to stay in. However, the longer PCIP stays in public hands, the harder it will be for the company to compete and hit its targets against resurgent and capitalised opposition. So any sniff of taking this private would force Livingbridge's hand and at 5x sales that's a market cap of about £110m. So I would agree, at double the current share price, most people would take the money... but the window of opportunity for both scenarios is beginning to close and the company needs to ask itself what's best for its shareholders long term. That will start with the board being realistic about the potential increase in sales for the full year (as you say, +19%) or they risk dragging us all into a trap of their own making. That wouldn't serve shareholders well at all... and (like me) they are beginning to wake up to it.