RE: German central bank warns of overblown property prices with the problem spreading19 Jan 2022 16:32
Wouldn't be too concerned in the UK, as Germany are tied to the euro. Most people in the UK would've noticed and experienced the growing gap between incomes and costs for about 10 years. Basically people have still got by with lower salaries, mainly due to shockingly low interest rates.
The tide is turning though, no longer can the central Bank or gov manipulate reported inflation. So in return we're now seeing salaries increase to account for inflation (finally). Let's face it even if mortgage rates went to 3%, that's still less than half what it was in 90's. Borrowing is still incredibly cheap, which will continue to fuel house prices. I was actually stunned looking at rightmove and ticking the STC box , so many reasonably sized houses changing hands for £800k to £1m. Most will have decent deposits, much of that risk sits with homeowners. If up sizing with £300k or more towards your next home, even if there was a house price drop , most of that risk doesn't sit with the bank. I think we're going to see good 5 years of growing salaries and GDP, we're only just entering the up cycle. Not to mention billions saved during the covid crisis, all that liquidity is great for everyone, especially banks.
Rick.