RE: Can we have a link Nickel in storage supply15 Jul 2022 16:14
In simpler terms, I like to think of it like a builders merchant, where they might have a stock of items that's dwindling, but that's not so much a problem for the price in the short term, but when things get low or run out prices often rise (and can itself spark its own rush to secure supply).
To quote another site on the subject:
"Previously, low stocks in LME registered warehouses were not a concern because of high off-exchange inventories. But this time those stocks too are scarce, analysts say.
“We are moving into a period of metal scarcity, not seen since 2004-2006, volatility will be higher,” said Jay Tatum Portfolio manager at Valent Asset Management. “Until we see inventories come back, there will be a scarcity premium.”"
and
"HOW LOW ARE LME STOCKS?
Overall stocks in LME warehouses have fallen below 900,000 tonnes from levels above two million tonnes in January 2021.
Copper stocks at 154,650 tonnes are up from levels below 70,000 tonnes in March. But cancelled warrants — metal earmarked for delivery — at 40% of the total indicate more metal is due to leave the LME system.
Aluminium stocks are at 21-year lows of 465,700 tonnes and cancelled warrants at 59% of the total, while for zinc, cancelled warrants stand at 48% of total stocks at 84,700 tonnes.
“Inventories of most metals have declined, which has raised the risk of extreme volatility,” said Bank of America analyst Michael Widmer. “This is visible in zinc at present.”"