RE: BMN Profits Look Good!11 Dec 2018 12:34
Just a reminder of the position:
It is interesting to see the potential on Q4 numbers as a minimum at 725 mtv from BBN. Ophidians mean is at 752 mtv. If we go back to Q1 2018 it was 731 mtv but going back to Q2 2017 they achieved 792 mtv and this was before the upgrade and the motivation which should now be present in the workforce following the settlement back in September.
So we can expect the figures to be somewhere in this range. So a very good Q4 indeed. Quite what impact Christmas and the New Year will have on Q1 2019, but if we look at last year and hope a 20% increase then maybe 870 mtv could be possible depending on any maintenance, this is roughly in line with an increase from 3050 mt pa to 3750 mt pa. With an average of $118 minimum then this could be another very good quarter indeed and show that the companies issues are well and truly behind it.
This would then give a total for the year:
Q1 - 731 mtv - Ave price $61.8
Q2 - 629 mtv - Ave price $65.5 for H1 - $89,080,000
Q3 - 537 mtv - Ave price $85.8 - $46,074,600
Q4 - 752 mtv (estimated from Ophidian) Ave price $112.40 (from BBN) - $84,524,800
Total 2649 mtv - Total revenue from mined for 2018 will be $219,679,400 - A very good number
Total operating costs $86,092,500
This gives $135,154,600 profit x 59% = $79,741,214
Plus $84,524,800 x 74% = $67,619,840
Total $147,361,054 and this gives £117,888,843 ($1.25 to £1)
So if anyone has any doubts if this was a good year for Bushveld Minerals and are they a bonafide Miner and Processor this should answer their questions!
If we then look into 2019 and just assume a 20% lift on 2018 production figures but at an average price of $115 per kilo it should look like this:
3178 mtv - $365,562,000 in revenue from that mined
or if we get close to the Production rate possible of 3750 mtv - $431,250,000 in revenue from that mined
So even with a realistic head in place and not getting too excited, this are very good figures indeed! let's hope that FeV continues to go up and maybe even reach $150 per kg. This would lift these figures again. Then we may even have the plant upgrade completed in Q3 which would give us another record Q4 potential. Looking very good!
Cheers,
RK