RE: Undervalued.1 Jul 2019 10:55
@Castaway
"Rhambo - can you provide any evidence that NANO is "clearly not undervalued"? - "
Certainly, the RNS releases of 9 April and 21 June this year. In the interim results of 9 April, you can see that as a result of the 'US Customer' contract win, revenues were 'substantially higher" from £0.2 to £3.2m, which is a large chunk of the major contract. That contract has now been pulled according to the 21 June release. Revenue is about to crater. That means for H2 2019/20 you are looking at revenues probably in the region of £0.5m, maybe higher depending on payment timings from the US Customer. Certainly going forward into FY2019/20 revenues without any new customers are looking to be <£0.5m. The current market cap is around £40m. This is a PE of approx 80 for a company whose growth status has been terminated and is now going to be guzzling cash (outflows were between £4 and 5m prior to the contract, and may be higher now wwith additional OpEx and CapEx to maintain the contract, closer to £5m perhaps). This basically means NANO has approx18 months to plug this cash outflow gap. Whilst this is not (yet) a worthless POS the risks associated with the lack of revenues mean this company is grossly overvalued. A charitable PE of 12 applied to earnings of £0.5m mean fair value is around 6p and falling.