RE: Vanadium prices18 Jul 2018 09:22
Adding on to this, I spent my commuting time this morning looking into the connection between Vanadium, Energy Storage, and renewables. It's basically exactly as FM says but always pays to look at some science too. As he said, the generative powers of wind and sun are less steady/reliable than coal etc, so vanadium batteries can help smooth output, and transmission over distance.
Furthermore, I was searching for largest vanadium battery installations and could only find results in the US and China. Is it therefore safe to assume Africa has no significant ones? As well as this, Vanadium batteries can safely discharge to low or fully depleted levels, unlike Li-Ion batteries which get damaged by this. They are also lower maintenance and basically be left on their own for long times.
Significant upside for production of vanadium, and of course synergy with bushveld energy. Rising prices will also mean the fixed costs remain stable but any revenue from V price rises or service price rises should more or less fall right through to bottom line, aside tax of course. Of course, it depends on demand too, but I haven't been able to find simple enough articles for me to understand the capacity of the VRFB. Will it be maxed out by serving a 250KM area, or is there potential for it to serve further unpredicted demand?
Going back to my first post here, it seems even with a rudimentary understanding of the science, it's clear the company has a path to being more profitable in the future than it is today, which is good for us all. No numbers from me or fancy valuation theories, the investment case is really that simple and it's how I make all my decisions. The company will do better in the future than it is today, and the market has not realized this yet, which gives us all a margin of safety