My two cents ..10 Aug 2021 20:16
My thoughts are that the two sides had agreed on $1.2B deal before the matter moved to the parliament. If that is not the case, it will be too dumb even for the donkeys that run the Indian fiscal administration. For, if Cairn do not accept the 1.2B where does it leave the Indian side? The bill for one, considerably weakens their appeal of the arbitration award. Two, it does nothing about the assets seizure scenario if it resumes. Three, it removes any further space for negotiations by ruling out interest, legal fees etc. And four, it leaves itself open to go back to the parliament to amend the act in sackcloth and ashes when it has to inevitably come to an agreement in the next few months.
We will wait and see how it unfolds in the coming weeks!