Massive dilution coming down the line7 Oct 2025 17:20
So here it is. Ignore at your peril. And understand how little Hindlip (and any follow-ons) will contribute to each share, and the tiny share price they will justify.
“The Company announces that it has made an application to the Financial Conduct Authority ("FCA") and the London Stock Exchange for the block listing (the "Block Listing") of a total of 245,200,000 ordinary shares relating to Ordinary Shares to be issued from time to time pursuant to the exercise of Cash Warrants issued pursuant to the Equity Fundraise announced on 11 July 2025”.
When 245m shares are in issue, that will mean Mast assumes the first 125m tranche of cash warrants will have raised £5m, on top of the £2.6m from the pre-paids. The end June balance sheet showed a net liability of £1.7m, meaning on 245m shares net assets (before the further 2nd half loss) will be £5.9 million (and with most of that being fixed plant it will have practically no cash towards any more plants). That means net assets per share of 2.4 pence.
No share can ever deserve a share price 20 times its net assets unless punters are hoping it will find a Hopi diamond worth £billions. I don't think Mast has a site that would deliver that.
Mast will be earning very little from its fingers in its generating plants. Hindlip is 75% owned by Powertree. Acc to Med its 'reputable and appropriately accredited consulting firm, EnAppSys' predicts less than £1m per annum profit for Hindlip, leaving Mast with only £250,000 pa before 30% tax. Even if Hindlip gets additional capacity market income like Pyebridge that would only add around few £100,000's to its share – producing total annual earnings per Mast share of 0.1 pence per share. Together with Pyebridge, Stather, and Bordersley (more capex needed for them) Mast might clock up 0.5 pence per share annual earnings.
If you assume all the other 'deals' it has announced come to fruition. (None of its other big deals have, because it hasn't told you there are big competitors out there 200 times bigger than Mast) it hasn't got any cash to contribute to their cost aanyway. If it wants a profit share its going to have to put up at least £2million per MW. To get that will mean many more shares will have to be added to the 450 million, meaning even lower earnings per share.
That's why the only accountant ever to post on these boards has said Mast is uninvestable. It doesn't have a viable business model. I have been saying the same to my own readership ever since it listed in 2021. Quite why the shares have been magicked up to a current 50p and a potential market cap of over £120 million just on the warrants expected by Mast is a mystery I'm sure the FCA will be looking at. The only explanation is gross market manipulation.
The Block Listing application