Not all bad18 Jul 2018 13:50
I think we are agreed that we can expect another hit on the p&l, writing-off the gain made on the PLE acquisition. All numbers, no real cash behind any of it.
Although we should be seeing a reduction in losses because we really have received money from Recordati in the territories already launched. I wonder how that will be treated in the accounts as arguably this should also be subject to the same amortisation rules as the write down of PLE.
I'm not sure how much choice we had about including PLE on the RP balance sheet but the amount was as a result of the valuation which was an internal exercise. Remembering back to the takeover, the figures were somewhat academic given the base share price of RP at the time. Nevertheless, it is what it is and I would argue that any potential takeover would have to at least acknowledge the valuation that is on the balance sheet, even if it is reducing every year.
I would argue however that we are amortising PLE over a shorter time period than necessary. I would also suggest that, as PLE was acquired prior to US approval, upon approval the balance sheet might substantially increase as a result.
For me at the moment, I'd far rather see a healthy cash balance and positive cashflow. Operationally I'm happy that US approval is moving forward. Until then we may be pleasantly surprised with European sales which we all, including the market are perhaps viewing with lower expectations than had we enjoyed a more active marketing campaign.
Just seeing how things are panning-out, I can't help but think that selling PLE was always the objective of JG. We are in a strange position at the moment, between EU launch and US approval. Time will tell, but for me at least, I was more comforted with the last press release than I will be concerned about the profit warning.