rough day26 Feb 2020 09:23
big dip today and I feel sorry for those who bought in at a higher level.
if it is an adjustment due to a global pandemic, and outside of BPC control, we are sat with almost the same fundamentals as we were before the dip.
A world class asset about to be drilled.
The risks as I see them, global reduction in travel results in lower short term demand for oil. The pandemic results in a deferral of drilling operation because of rig mobilisation/labour travel restrictions.
Would the govt of the Bahamas extend the well obligation timeline as a result of exceptional circumstances?
What additional funding would we need in place if that was a 12 month deferral? (operational costs for 12 months, Macquarie contract extension, revised drill rates etc.)
Or, and this is the big kicker, is there something more going on in the background that we are not going to like?
Off for a walk. See where we are in an hour or two.