RE: Ali information16 Feb 2026 08:34
Reasoning & How to Arrive at EstimatesResource Base: Started with 2019 MRE (137kt SnEq). Adjusted upward based on 2025–2026 drill results (e.g., >10m @ 2–5% Sn/WO3 in SVS zones), targeting 200kt as a base case. If higher (e.g., 250kt), add 25% to all EVs.
Valuation Method: EV = (Contained SnEq tonnes) × (Stage-specific $/t multiple). Multiples derived from:MRE: Low end of junior tin peers (e.g., early-stage explorers trade at 0.01–0.02x metal value).
PFS/DFS: Higher as studies prove viability (e.g., Elementos DFS implies ~4% of metal value after discounts).
Gross metal value = Contained × $50k/t.
Share Price Calculation: Price (p) = (EV in GBP) / Shares outstanding. Converted USD EV to GBP at ~0.77 USD/GBP. Assumes stable share count.
Upside Sensitivity: If tin hits $60k/t (+20%), add ~15–20% to prices. Bear case (tin $40k/t): Subtract 20%. Success at each stage typically triggers 50–200% pops, but delays/dilution could cap gains.
Redmoor positions SML as a UK critical minerals play with strategic upside—watch the Q1 MRE for the first leg up.