RE: This could be a another factor2 Jul 2020 11:26
John Lewis, ssp (upper crust and co), easy jet and Ryan air have all announced considerable job losses in the last day or so. Other retail companies will surely follow along with car manufacturing and sales and more than likely a holiday company or two. We are about to hit some rather rocky times and demand for goods and the associated sales outlets, logistics and warehousing and to some degree manufacturing will all be affected by it, I’m sure there’s a desire from the parliamentary group responsible to hammer bookies as part of a gambling harm reduction strategy but this needs to be balanced with the overwhelming desire to limit job losses if at all possible. When shops start to close on the high streets news articles won’t be talking about the evil betting shop closed as well as boots and costa coffee they will be talking about the further decline of the uk high streets. I still remain convinced that there will be some requirements for bookies to further support gambling harm reduction but I don’t believe there is an appetite to bring them to their knees simply because of the effect this will have with job losses within the industry and also within the horse racing industry itself. Bookies need football as it’s their single biggest betting market but horse racing is a big chunk too in second place and horse racing doesn’t survive without bookmakers who pay a levy to horse racing and sponsor the vast majority of racing which is a big employer especially in rural areas. Ultimately the sitting conservative government has an 80 seat majority so when the chips are down I predict plenty of nice words about bookmakers needing to be responsible, possibly some token additional levy or tax and the cross party anti gambling group sent on their way to address the loot boxes issue etc. After all the single biggest betting event is the lottery with its six draws a week, scratch cards for every taste and a 16 million to one chance of winning 3 million quid and nobody wants the bookmakers to start screaming about that nice little earner. I don’t expect it to be easy for William hill to conquer America and grow profits in the uk but I do expect them to do it and I do expect the share price to reflect that in time. I accept of course that we might feel like we’ve had a few goes on the Big Dipper by the time we get there.