RE: So why hasn't anyone done this before and surely we have competition11 Aug 2021 09:44
The process is targeted at specific sector of waste, with low recycling values, due to cost and low return.
You’re correct there are other options, some that are operational. None however provide the scale ability or energy recovery levels of the PHE system.
The only question is when to buy?
I think there will be a five year period on cash burn, and at least 10 years before any cash is returned to shareholders (with the exception of preferential shares).
The story here will be how many projects are reported, how frequently, and of course Protos.
Realistically I don’t expect them to commission the first plant until 23/24. Comparing Eqtech’s projects and timelines, most slippage is because of third parties. So PHE can be as on point as possible, but they haven’t sufficient influence to drive the process within the current SPV/JV sphere. Most infrastructure projects involve SPV/JV frameworks, hence my thoughts on time line.
I have 10k on this at 3.12 average, and will wait out my 10 years.