RE: Saga three bager8 Dec 2020 11:06
As a substantial shareholder (and I’m not referring to my waist measurement), of course I want to believe that this will multi-bag from here. However, fascinating though historical comparisons are, our focus must now be very firmly on the future, in particular the prospective EPS.
FWIW analysts have pencilled in EPS of between 13p and 78p for next year, which just goes to show the huge uncertainties around forecasting at this time. We won’t really have a much firmer idea about this until we have seen the detailed results for the current year in several months time.
For the time being, personally I’m working on EPS of 50p, and a P/E of 10 (a guesstimated blend of the insurance and tourism sectors), which implies an SP of £5 – still a doubling from current levels (and a reason to be cheerful!), but not yet a “multi-bag”. I do have faith that we will get there in the end though.