RE: 5 year predictions21 Nov 2021 15:16
Given crypto market history I would expect a bear market to start within the next 1-3 months as the current BTC halving cycle comes to an end. However, this is by no means guaranteed and given the greater mainstream adoption, increasing importance of other cryptos and current macro situation it may not be as deep as previous bear markets.
In the next cycle crypto miners like ARB should be up against stiffer competition and will have to spend big just to maintain their shares of the ever increasing hashrate, so I reckon there is a chance their prices will be little different in the next cycle to this one. KR1 on the other hand is actually crypto and given I expect alts to be higher in the next cycle I would expect a corresponding uplift in KR1's SP. It could be significant, but who knows.
On the other hand, alts also tend to significantly under perform BTC during crypto bear markets, so I would expect a major retrenchment in KR1 should we indeed enter a bear market. Whilst it's great to HODL, four years is a long time to hold whilst missing the myriad of investment opportunities elsewhere, so the key to investing in KR1 as far as I'm concerned is making sure you're not in should we enter a bear market. Not the easiest thing to manage when the upside and downside are potentially very significant and Aquis liquidity makes managing a large position quite tricky.
I'm sure some of you have very different strategies and viewpoints, and it would be good to get some other perspectives on this. Perhaps our conveyor belt of seed capital investments and DOT lock-ins will provide significant gearing to mitigate downside risk, but the strength of the crypto bear market singularity has been mighty strong in the past, so I remain cautious.
Best of luck all and hope we remain on the right side of this.