97.3 MMB P50 net recoverable to WTE10 Aug 2020 11:49
Having crunched the numbers for the prospects across WTE's 4 blocks in Guyana and Suriname, WTE's total exposure amounts to 97.3 MMB P50 net recoverable with an average COS of 31.3%. At $5 per barrel that equates to £379M or 301p unrisked and 94p risked. The current drilling plan for the next 12 months appear to be for 7 wells, which I anticipate will be [Canje Block] Sapote, Jabillo, Bulletwood, [Kaieteur] Tanager, Toucan, [Orinduik] Amalia/Kumaka and Iatuk-D. This amounts to 40.8 MMB P50 net recoverable to WTE or 126.5p unrisked and 51.7p risked at $5 per barrel. Prior to the Covid crisis Hess and Exxon were touting $7 per barrel for Guyana oil in the ground and ECO topped that valuation on hitting pay dirt at Joe and Jethro. This would equite to 177.1p risked and 72.4p unrisked for WTE. The great thing is this target price is based on accretive value from multiple largely Exxon operated wells rather than a single high risk binary event. Given the immense success so far on this fairway I will be very surprised if WTE does not have 5 to 6 major discoveries and at least 30 MMB under its belt this time next year and a SP well north of 100p.