RE: Strategic investment18 Mar 2025 17:31
I am not sure about immediate capital raise but can't be discounted in the medium term. Fortunately for me I took my medicine a while ago and reduced from over 3 Mill to just under 500,000. Hence I don't quite squeal as much as I could have. I am not expecting much from what I have left here and if I am being honest I do not really see the basis for this company to be at 111M market cap.
My initial optimism was that I believe PM's bombast as how we are going to conquer the work and every thing we have was a game changer. [ Mind I wasn't of the brigade that though we were worth £5 a share, I was very optimistic but not quite that delusional].
You can only be fooled for so long before, if you are rational, you start to wise up that you can't really trust your hard earned wealth on anything he says or timelines he provides. He is not honest just not very good at reading the market or forecasting, so that we will break even tomorrow is not something that you should base your financial planning on.
The elephant in the room is October 2026, we are in hock to Magna for $47.5 million. Unless someone is taking something that they re not supposed to be taking then we can all agree that there is no way magna is going to convert these at 11p, when others managed to get their share at around 3p. My feeling is that they will just want their money back together with accrued interest, which is part of the agreement, if they do not want to convert. We may beg them to convert at 2p and that is a hell of wedge of shares to be issued unless we are in a position to pay back the $45.5M.
Finally it will be interesting to watch if Magna renews their exclusive rights to the rear view mirror DMS. The exclusivity runs out on June this year, ( yes June 2025). If they renew that will signal that they see value in it, if not and prefer to just pay as they use, in other words they do not see a need to protect exclusivity, then whatever we have is not as good as we tend to tell ourselves.
NOTE:
for the person that confidently said that he does not see PM coming to a townhall meeting without something mega announce ....well investment 101 lesson. A cynic will say that this townhall meeting is to reassure those that still believe that everything is still ship shape and shore up confidence. However market has got tired of promises especially when we have a series on record of not meeting much that we say.
Going back to sleep and back again when it hits 4p. May even have a party at that point.