RE: Losses Until 202510 May 2022 17:07
¨ Financial performance: Boohoo Group plc (LON:BOO) revenue of £1,982.8m is +13.6% YOY and +41.3% versus FY20, representing significant market share gains versus global apparel markets that remain below pre-pandemic levels (UK: +27.3% versus market -3%, US +3.8% versus market -9%). The UK delivered a standout performance +27.3% YOY with strong growth across both established and new brands. Demand in international markets has been impacted by extended delivery times due to constrained airfreight capacity, a headwind that we see as transitory, and that will be in part resolved by the launch of the Group’s US distribution centre, expected to go live in summer 2023. Gross margin of 52.5% is 170bps lower YOY, a resilient performance in the face of £22m in additional inbound freight costs. EBITDA of £125.1m down 27.9% YOY, reflecting £38m in additional outbound carriage costs, as well as an increase in marketing investment to combat weaker consumer demand and investment in growing new brands. Capital investment of £261.5m provides infrastructure to support future growth, including freehold properties, and significant expansion of warehouse capacity and automation. A new £325m RCF provides significant cash facilities in addition to year end net cash of £1.3m following record levels of capital expenditure, investment in working capital due to extended supply chain lead times as well as investment in new brands.
¨ Strategic progress: Group KPIs have improved YOY, with customers shopping more frequently, and spending more with the Group. Boohoo has transformed its brand portfolio in recent years, extending its total addressable market to more than 500 million customers. This compares to current active customers of 19.9 million, representing the significant growth opportunity that remains.
¨ Outlook: Current guidance assumes pandemic-related external factors impacting performance in FY22 will persist across FY23. For FY23 management expect low-single digit percent revenue growth, and adjusted EBITDA margin in the range of 4% to 7%.
¨ Forecasts: Our revised forecasts reflect updated guidance. We also introduce FY24E forecasts set modestly to reflect current headwinds. See exhibit 4 for detail.