SP Angel morning view17 Mar 2020 11:34
SP Angel - I know there our brokers but nice to be included with Rio Tinto as a better quality company
https://www.uploadlibrary.com/SPAngel_JohnMeyer/SP_Angel_-_Morning_View_-_Tuesday_17.03.20.pdf
Equity markets continue to unwind as policy makers consider banning of short selling
• Expect equity markets to continue to selloff as Insurers, Banks, Corporates and Individuals move to cash to survive the impact of the Coronavirus.
• Leveraged investors are being stopped-out if unable to meet margin calls. We expect the market to largely de-leverage in this environment.
• Many investors who bought equities for yield using low-interest loans secured on their equity portfolios may need to unwind their personal arbitrage
• Good quality liquid stocks tend to be sold-down more than lesser quality companies in this environment due to their greater demand with investors
• Most business can not survive three-months of very low sales and will need government support to avoid bankruptcy and heavy redundancies.
• Governments will need to support these businesses through the lock-down but few believe they will fully compensate while financial support.
• Government financial support may be slow to arrive creating a cash flow gap that business will need to fund.
• Markets tolerate short selling because they claim it creates liquidity for sellers to sell into, am not sure I share that view.
• Metals and other commodities were sold off at the start of the Coronavirus crisis as traders and
consumers moved to conserve cash.
• While many Chinese traders and corporate will have been early movers in this, their belief in
government stimulus may have limited the sell-off.
• Western corporates, particularly in the US may have been slower to move to cash .
• Our advice: Don’t be spooked by share price falls in better quality companies.
• Be sure the stocks you buy won’t go bust in this crisis and then enjoy the upturn in share prices when the market turns Key resource stocks for post-Coronavirus recovery
• Mining stocks: Rio Tinto (RIO LN), Bushveld Minerals* (BMN LN), Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN),
Arc Minerals* (ARCM LN), Bluejay Mining* (JAY LN), Scotgold Resourcess* (SGZ LN)
• Oil Stocks: Union Jack Oil* (UJO LN), Rockrose Energy (RRE LN), Gulf Keystone (GKP LN),
Hurricane Energy (HUR LN)