Alternative Resource Capital - BMN22 Jul 2021 09:36
https://www.bushveldminerals.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/BMN-%E2%80%93-Vametco-production-rates-trending-back-up.pdf
Bushveld’s consolidated vanadium production increased by close to 30% in Q2 2021, underpinned by improved operational stability at Vametco following a maintenance shutdown that adversely impacted output in the preceding quarter. If maintained across the second half, current rates at both Vametco and Vanchem put the group well on course to meet its recently revised full-year production target of 3,400-3,600t. With vanadium prices having recovered strongly from last year’s lows, we are optimistic this production level will see a return to positive EBITDA in 2021. Successful execution of production growth plans – Bushveld is targeting a 5,000-5,400t pa rate by the end of 2022, and >8,000t pa longer-term – should drive further margin growth thereafter.
? Improved operational performance at Vametco: Q2 production at Vametco
totalled 593t, up 50% from Q1 when the operation was shut down for 35 days
for vital maintenance. Encouragingly, May and June saw 278t and 261t produced
respectively, reflecting much improved operational stability and performance
following the Q1 downtime. Allowing for further planned maintenance work to
maintain this improved stability, Bushveld is guiding an average monthly
production rate of around 240t at Vametco for the remainder of the year. Vanchem’s production was in-line with the preceding quarter at 293t. Bushveld expects Vanchem to maintain its current monthly rate of c90-100t, supported by the provision of feedstock material sourced from the upper seam resource at Vametco.
? Sales volumes steady despite logistic pressures: Recent civil unrest in South
Africa has thankfully not impacted production, though Bushveld has
experienced logistic delays in getting final product to the port. These delays have
been resolved, though pandemic-related general logistic pressures on exports
remain. Bushveld’s sales increased by 4% Q-on-Q, to 820t, and the group expects
to maintain export volumes at a similar rate through Q3 2021.
? On course to hit full-year targets: Consolidated Q1 production of 886t takes H1
output to 1,574t, down 5% vs H1 2020 as a result of the maintenance shutdown.
However, if the now improved rates at Vametco can be maintained, and if
Vanchem continues its steady performance as refurbishment work continues,
H2 production should be materially higher. We therefore think Bushveld is on
course to meet its recently revised full-year production target of 3,400-3,600t.