Share Prophets Article17 Aug 2015 08:56
A friend from God’s Chosen Country asks whether I should be slamming Fastnet (FAST) for getting out of the oil business. Au contraire. Yes there must be red faces at this AIM listed Irish oil explorer but I think it is doing the right thing and that more should follow. I applaud Cathal Friel for taking the flak for doing the right thing.
Last week Friel announced that he was essentially surrendering his exploration licenses to preserve the $15.9 million it has in the kitty and has slashed all PLC costs getting them down to $600,000 per annum. The pain is being felt at boardroom level with the CEO among those walking the plank.
Some over in Ireland say that Fastnet promoted its shares aggressively and has somehow let down investors with its decision. The case for the prosecution is thus:
The current management traded on the names and reputations of John Craven & Paul Griffiths to raise funds over $50 million for Celtic Sea and other assets which Fastnet have now rubbished and
abandoned.
In doing so they also :
1) Potentially damaged and destroyed shareholder value or potential shareholder value that could be recovered in time, damaged other Celtic Sea operators and presumably ****ed off the DCENR given their statement.
2) Did not give shareholders a chance of a demerger of the E&P assets which could have been a solution and opportunity for a ‘new’ management team
3) Fastnet has enough funds to batten down the hatches and weather the downturn or to be liquidated and return funds to shareholders which may be less controversial but was not offered as an option
4) By proposing to spend the remaining significant funds on a biopharma deal that has been flagged by the chairman for some time, there have been some suggestions that this could be another Minmet, given some connections or have potential conflict of interests but let’s see how the EGM goes.
5) Trading on others reputations, the current management joined the oil & Gas party at the top and are now to exit at the bottom to join the biopharma party.
Ends.
That is a tad harsh. Fastnet has stated that its Celtic Sea licenses are for sale. But the reality is that no-one is interested in oil. That Fastnet and other oil tiddlers trade such as New World Oil & Gas (NEW) trade at a discount to cash (i.e. with their assets valued at minus something) shows that investors just do not want to be in oil right now. Even if £1 is spent on adding £1 to the value of an asset the market will value that £1 at minus something so it is insane to spend a cent on exploration. It is simply spunking cash up against the wall.
I agree with the analysis of Fastnet that no-one knows how long oil prices will remain subdued. But it could well be years which means that the E&P sector on AIM is a parrot, that is to say it is brown bread.
So in taking the flak I believe that Fastnet is preserving value. If folk