Seifert5 Feb 2014 14:21
Well that is a question! When I originally bought the shares they had demonstrated quite the depth of uselessness that they have subsequently mined. Would I buy the shares now other than for a complete punt - no! They are a complete punt. They have terrible coverage ratios, have missed almost every target, compounded by a debt mountain of staggering proportions. Now I get where this all came from. India is booming, energy is the future boys so leverage up against stable power revenues and you can double your equity. The trouble is that Indian politics are terrible, they are terrible listed company operators (running it like a private fiefdom), got hit with a huge tax bill and the result of all this is a bit of a disaster for the equity. I get all of that. But it is compounded by the fact that no one trusts them anymore. They just don't seem to be able to articulate a plan and then deliver on it. Having said all of that if they do start delivering, either by improving EBITDA or selling assets, the equity is now incredibly highly leveraged. So if it does recover, the assets are sufficiently well developed that EBITDA could grow very rapidly and thus the equity will, from here, go up a lot. So would I buy them? If I could afford to lose the lot in return for the chance to make 3x my capital - yes.