RE: Share Price & Enterprise Value. Success/Failure7 Dec 2020 13:36
A preferred development concept for a field size of approximately 0.7 billion barrels would involve an initial 16 wells, with Electric Submersible Pumps (ESPs), connected to subsea wellheads, grouped in pods of 4 wells, then flowing through a closed-circuit subsea flowline up individual risers to the FPSO. Thereafter additional wells would be drilled over the field life in similar configuration to maintain a production plateau and optimise FPSO throughput.
In a successful development scenario of approximately 0.7 billion barrels (i.e., of the P50 resource level at Perseverance #1 only), and assuming a real US$40 oil price, the project remains robustly economic with an NPV10 exceeding US$2.5 billion. In such a scenario, even at these relatively modest oil prices, an aggregate revenue stream of over US$5 billion would flow to the Government of The Bahamas in royalty income and other payments over the life of the project.
In the event of a successful development being established at the B North Perseverance #1 location, it is expected that the most likely resource volumes identified for the remainder of the 70 - 80km long B Structure would be largely derisked. In such a scenario it could thus be anticipated that one or more additional FPSO developments would be required to effectively drain the expanded resource base - for example one located at the northern end of the structure, and the other at the southern end. With a similar wells and subsea architecture configuration, a commensurate increase in incremental economic worth to the project (and revenues to the Government of The Bahamas) could be anticipated.