DFC already funded DFS5 Dec 2025 06:49
Dfc already funded DFS to tune of $4.75m
Let’s be rational
DFC walking away after paying for the DFS and receiving a very strong technical outcome would be completely irrational.
If anything, the DFS increases the probability of DFC staying involved in the P1 financing.
Tier-1 DFS signed off by CPC:
NPV10 US$1.087B, IRR 96%, low capex, low opex, long life.
• P1 only US$40m capex → designed to be profitable from first production.
• DFC already funded DFS (non-dilutive) and has first rights on project debt.
• Part of MSP and EU SAFELOOP initiatives → real strategic backing.
• Capital structure clean:
No toxic debt, no converts, no death-spiral, fully diluted ~524m is normal.
• Management exercised options with cash → no selling, no red flag.
• Only ~2% of deposit drilled → huge scale-up still ahead.
Once funding is announced, I see fair value at 10–20% of NPV → 25–55p.