RE: ReRate3 Feb 2018 11:07
As announced previously the off-take agreement will be finalised following a scoping study at Bougouni.
I don't see how a scoping study can be produced that isn't based on pure guesswork without a resource definition (JORC), and therefore we're going to see a JORC first which can then be followed swiftly by the scoping study (in fact they may be done in parallel to some extent) and the finalised offtake agreement. Once that's in place debt financing is possible to develop from there i.e. a mining plant.
In this context assuming this is the plan it makes sense to now why they would delay a JORC until yet more drilling had been done rather than go the usual incremental route.
The bulk sample is to some extent a parallel activity the results of which will feed into the plan later after the offtake is finalised, i.e. the design of the mining plant.
So this is how I'd foresee newflow pan out from here:
- Assay results from drilling done at the end of last year (31 holes outstanding)
- Drilling recommenced now we have the licence (approx another 5,000m to do) which should take around 6-8 weeks.
- More assay results and Arretes declaration
- Bulk sampling commencement
- Confirmation that JORC or JORCs will now be commissioned based on the drilling done to date.
Followed by scoping study, offtake, bulk sample progress and results etc.
Regarding the shareprice, I see more of a snowball effect rather than an instant 'rerate' based on a particular piece of news. But having said that confirmation that the JORC is going ahead will clearly be catalystic.