Bitcoin Supercycle14 Jul 2025 20:32
So far, I’ve been incredibly accurate in the predictions I made in my 2024 book, Bitcoin Supercycle. I said if Donald Trump was elected that we would reach a new all-time high in early November (it passed the previous cycle’s high of $73,500 on November 5th).
I also said that every initial all-time high for a new cycle kicks off a roughly year long period I call Bitcoin Summer, which is charactetized by rapid increases in price, ending with a blow-off top in the fourth quarter of the year after the halving.
So far, we are up nearly $50,000 since last November with less than six months to go for a blow-off top to pop the bubble (leading to a year of corrections and eventual capitulation at a price that’s not only far below the bubble top, but likely below today’s price).
I predicted at a conference in Cannes last week (when Bitcoin was still “stuck” around $108k) that the path the $200k would look something like this (remember these are monthly averages, meaning we could still have one red month if we exceed my estimate too much in a green month):
Here goes:
July +10 pct (end of month price $119k)
Aug +10 pct (end of month price $130k)
Sept +10 pct (end of month price $144k)
Oct +20 pct (end of month price $172k)
Nov +20 pct (end of month price $207k)
At the moment, we are ahead of schedule…(Michael Terpin)