RE: SENX13 May 2021 18:59
Serinus Energy*
Q1 2021 results
Serinus has released its Q1 2021 results. These report Q1 2021 production of 2.1mboe/d (1.5mboe/d from Romania and 0.6mboe/d from Tunisia), compared with the reported December 2020 average rate of 2.1mboe/d (1.6mboe/d from Romania and 0.5mboe/d from Tunisia). The Q1 2021 production performance reflects the M-1008 well which came onstream in Romania in February 2021 (in part countered by reservoir management actions elsewhere at Moftinu), alongside the benefit from the workovers carried out at the Chouech Es Saida field in Tunisia in December 2020 (the positive production gains from which are still coming through), coupled with natural production declines in Romania. March 2021 average and exit rate production was 2.2mboe/d.
This compares with our full year 2021 production forecast of 2.5mboe/d. While our forecast now looks relatively full, there are several factors that could still allow Serinus to achieve this. First, the new ESPs installed as part of the workover programme at Chouech Es Saida continue to drive increases in oil production as they help reduce water cut. Second, the Moftinu compression programme planned to be implemented this year should help significantly arrest declines from this field. Third, the first Sabria ESP installation is to be implemented during H2 in the W1 well, and this is prognosed to potentially add c.800boe/d of gross production (Serinus 45%). On this basis, we are leaving our 2021 production forecast unchanged at present, but await further news on all of these elements.
Revenues for Q1 2021 are reported at US$7.6m, based on realised oil prices of US$54/boe and realised Romania gas prices of US$5.9/boe. Revenues reflect the recovery in particularly oil prices seen since the beginning of 2020, alongside production levels achieved. This compares with our unchanged US$35.7m full year 2021 revenue forecast, relatively conservative US$50/bbl 2021 Brent assumption and US$5.2/mcf 2021 Romania gas price assumption.
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